A probability picture, not a price promise
See downside, flat and upside probabilities over 15 and 20 trading days. The move thresholds adapt to each stock’s volatility.
Stock research · Evidence before conviction
Bayesian stock probability forecasts
and Monte Carlo scenarios.
Understand stock scenarios, compare them with history, and see how strong the evidence really is.
A Bayesian network links six market conditions to each stock’s next 15 and 20 trading days. One ticker. One structured report—and no hidden claim that every stock has an edge.
7 days · 20 analyses/day · No card required · Free plan afterwards
Inside your report
More context. Less guesswork.
Levels and scenarios you can inspect
Explore support and resistance, neutral upside/downside scenarios and modelled chances of touching a target before a stop.
Historical evidence in plain sight
Compare similar historical episodes with the stock’s usual outcomes, and see whether the model improved on its historical average in testing.
Built to show its limits
“No proven edge” is a result worth knowing.
Each forecast is tested on later historical periods using only information available at the time. It must improve on the stock’s historical average with enough evidence to earn an “Edge detected” badge. That badge is not a guarantee of future results.
When evidence is weak, probabilities stay close to the historical average. A small number of detected edges neither proves nor disproves model quality: test uncertainty, sample size and market conditions all matter. The report makes those limits visible.
No proven edgeModel not used (weight 0)Edge detected
Same inputs, same calculations. News interpretation is separate and never changes the quantitative forecast.
From ticker to a clearer picture.
- 01
Enter a US ticker
Use completed daily sessions, with up to 3,000 sessions of history and QQQ as a market benchmark.
- 02
Inspect the evidence
Read probabilities, levels, similar episodes and validation. Short-history stocks receive clearly labelled limited or descriptive reports.
- 03
Follow the next close
Save tickers to your watchlist. When a new close is available, rerun within your allowance; trial and paid plans can compare report changes.
New · Prop challenge simulator
Taking a prop firm challenge? Check your odds before you pay.
Model FTMO, Topstep and Apex rules (trailing and daily drawdown, profit targets, consistency) across thousands of Monte Carlo runs. See your pass probability, the most likely breach and a safer risk per trade. Presets are editable, and Custom covers any other firm.
Try the simulator free- Free preview, no sign-up needed
- Runs in your browser, no market data needed
- Optional broker CSV import
- Full access: one-off 30-day pass or included with Pro
Try the workflow before subscribing
Start with 7 days. Choose your pace.
The trial includes 20 analyses/day, 50 watchlist tickers, 14-day saved history, news context, CSV exports and report comparisons. No card required. Afterwards, stay Free or choose a monthly subscription.
Free
$0 / month
- 3 analyses / month
- 1 watchlist ticker
- Latest 3 reports
- Core stock research
3-Day Sprint Pass
$4.49 once
- 60 analyses over 3 days
- 20 watchlist tickers
- No subscription, never renews
- News context, CSV exports & report comparisons
10-Day Trader Pass
$7.99 once
- 200 analyses over 10 days
- 40 watchlist tickers
- No subscription, never renews
- News context, CSV exports & report comparisons
Pro
$17.99 / month
- 50 analyses / day
- 100 watchlist tickers
- 30-day saved history
- News context, CSV exports & report comparisons
Looking for the Prop Challenge Simulator? Get it as a one-off $9.99 pass for 30 days (never renews), or included with Pro. Learn more
Research tool, not investment advice. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.
Compare all plan features
See what the evidence says.
Start with a stock you already follow. Inspect the report for yourself.